Random forest and extreme gradient boosting algorithms for streamflow modeling using vessel features and tree-rings

نویسندگان

چکیده

Monitoring temporal variation of streamflow is necessary for many water resources management plans, yet, such practices are constrained by the absence or paucity data in rivers around world. Using a permanent river north Iran as test site, machine learning framework was proposed to model three periods growing seasons based on tree-rings and vessel features Zelkova carpinifolia species. First, full-disc samples were taken from 30 trees near river, went through preprocessing, cross-dating, standardization, time series analysis. Two algorithms, namely random forest (RF) extreme gradient boosting (XGB), used relationships between dendrochronology variables (tree-rings seasons) corresponding rates. The performance each evaluated using statistical coefficients [coefficient determination (R-squared), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), root-mean-square error (NRMSE)]. Findings demonstrate that consideration should be given XGB modeling its apparent enhanced (R-squared: 0.87; NSE: 0.81; NRMSE: 0.43) over RF 0.82; 0.71; 0.52). Furthermore, results showed models perform better normal low flows compared extremely high flows. Finally, tested reconstruct during past decades (1970–1981).

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Environmental Earth Sciences

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2199-9163', '2199-9155']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-021-10054-5